Why there Will NOT be a 2021 Stock Market Crash

Joseph Hogue
•March 12th, 2025
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Will there be a stock market crash in 2021 or is it a clear runway for higher stock prices? I’ll cover both cases and show you why stocks will not crash next year but why that doesn’t mean you can invest blindly. Then I’ll reveal the investing strategy I’m using to profit from the short-term and longer-term direction of the stock market.
One of the biggest questions of the year has been, when will the stock market crash? The economy is nowhere near as strong as it was last year, we still have a pandemic raging, and yet stocks continue to reach record highs. How is it possible? Is it a stock market bubble just waiting to pop?
Stocks are undeniably more expensive than the long-term PE ratio but there are reasons to believe the market can keep running higher. Despite 10+ million unemployed, more than 94% of the workforce is still employed and the saving rate has jumped to 13.6% - higher than any time in decades. You’ve also got low interest rates propping up stock prices, pushing investors into risk assets from treasuries and bonds.
The stock market is a forward-pricing machine. The collective stock trading of all investors tries to come to a conclusion on where earnings will be and what the economy will look like in six months to a year out. That means the market won’t look exactly like the current economy but should follow the general trend.
Of course, the stock market isn’t always right and that’s when we get a stock crash.
But is a market crash waiting for us in 2021? Are we in for a bear market or just a bull market correction?
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Joseph Hogue, CFA spent nearly a decade as an investment analyst for institutional firms and banks. He now helps people understand their financial lives through debt payoff strategies, investing and ways to save more money. He has appeared on Bloomberg and on sites like CNBC and Morningstar. He holds the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation and is a veteran of the Marine Corps.

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