FED LIES and Why the Bull Market is Alive

Joseph Hogue
•September 25th, 2023
DESCRIPTION
The Fed is crashing stocks but most investors don't realize the game it's playing. The Fed is lying about rate cuts next year that will push the stock market higher. I'll tell you why and how to invest right now. ✅ FREE Report! See the five stocks I'm buying for the next 30 years! https://mystockmarketbasics.com/motleyfool
The sky is falling! That seems to be the consensus view from investors after the Fed meeting last Wednesday. Stocks crashed 3% in just two days and investor sentiment is likely to take them down further. Investors don’t see the game the Fed is playing. I say it’s lying but Fed members would say it’s just a little ‘white lie’ to accomplish what needs to happen.
The nation’s central bank updated its projections to expect one more increase of interest rates this year but the real pain point was that the number of expected rate cuts next year dropped to just one. As recently as June, the market was expecting the Fed to start cutting rates by November of this year and to bring them down with at least four more cuts next year.
Now it looks like, according to the Fed, that we’re stuck with higher rates for longer. In the charts that accompany the Fed release, the group shifted inflation higher for this year and as far as 2025. Whereas in June, members thought inflation would be down to 2% by 2025, there are several that think it could still be as high as 2.4% or even 3% by then. That persistence in inflation means the need to keep rates higher to slow the economy and beat price pressures. In June, Fed members thought rates could be down to as low as 3.6% next year (from a range of 5.25% to 5.5% currently), they now expect the Fed Funds Rate to remain above 5% for the year.
The Fed is saying what they want you to hear. I say they’re lying but they would say they are just playing the monetary policy game. I'll explain why the Fed is lying and how to invest in stocks in the video along with all the stock market news you need to know for this week.
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Joseph Hogue, CFA spent nearly a decade as an investment analyst for institutional firms and banks. He now helps people understand their financial lives through dividend stocks, investing and ways to make more money. He has appeared on Bloomberg and on sites like CNBC and Morningstar. He holds the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation and is a veteran of the Marine Corps.

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